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Fuel Price Hike Looms in India: Petrol, Diesel May Rise Up to ₹10 Amid Crude Oil Surge

Petrol and diesel prices in India may rise by up to ₹10 as rising crude oil costs and OMC losses trigger fresh inflation concerns, says MK Global report.

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Hyderabad May22,2026

Fuel prices in India may once again be headed upward, raising fresh concerns for consumers already grappling with inflationary pressures. According to a recent report by financial services firm MK Global, petrol and diesel prices could see a sharp revision in the coming weeks as oil marketing companies struggle to manage mounting losses. 

The report suggests that state-run oil marketing companies may need to increase retail fuel prices by as much as ₹10 per litre over time to restore financial balance. This adjustment, it notes, could be implemented either in a single sharp hike or through staggered increases over the next few weeks, depending on market conditions and policy decisions.

The primary trigger behind the possible price revision is the rising crude oil prices in the international market. Escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia have pushed global crude benchmarks higher, directly impacting import costs for India, which remains heavily dependent on overseas oil supplies.

 MK Global also highlighted that the government had recently raised petrol and diesel prices by around ₹3 per litre, even as excise duty cuts of nearly ₹10 per litre were introduced earlier. Despite these measures, oil marketing companies continue to face significant under-recoveries, prompting expectations of further price corrections.

Economists warn that any sustained increase in crude oil prices could have a wider macroeconomic impact. A $10 per barrel rise in crude is estimated to push retail inflation higher by around 0.3%, while also widening the current account deficit by a similar margin, adding pressure on the broader economy.

Experts further caution that even a modest 3–5% rise in domestic fuel prices could lift retail inflation by 0.15% to 0.25%, affecting transportation costs, commodity prices, and household budgets. With inflation already a key concern, any fuel price hike is likely to intensify economic challenges for consumers across the country.

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